Introduction
Distance Approach
This approach is based on picking two financial instruments whose price series moved together over a set historical period. Then, during a testing period, if the difference (spread) in their prices is surpassing a set threshold, we enter a long position for the asset with a lower price and a short position for an asset with a higher price.
Following this approach, we expect that after diverging, prices of chosen instruments will revert back to levels previously observed. Our position can be closed once the prices of the instruments cross.
This approach can also be expanded to trading one element against a weighted portfolio of co-moving elements (a quasi-multivariate framework) or trading one portfolio against the other portfolio (a fully multivariate framework).
Each strategy that follows this approach can be split into two steps. In the first one, the historical period is defined and the distance measures are used to identify the co-moving assets to form pairs. In the second step, the threshold rules are defined and trading signals are generated for a testing dataset.